Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.027901 0.030625 0.033315 0.036166 0.039096 0.042015 0.045136
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022121 0.026492 0.030926 0.035732 0.040770 0.045874 0.051418
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.017836 0.023250 0.028880 0.035100 0.041722 0.048516 0.055973
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014764 0.020921 0.027474 0.034833 0.042769 0.050990 0.060083
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012704 0.019472 0.026826 0.035202 0.044323 0.053843 0.064435
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010250 0.017364 0.025292 0.034463 0.044558 0.055175 0.067057
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008537 0.015963 0.024437 0.034373 0.045408 0.057085 0.070214
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006897 0.014506 0.023422 0.034023 0.045902 0.058548 0.072826
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005369 0.013043 0.022312 0.033496 0.046141 0.059680 0.075031
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003638 0.011108 0.020538 0.032136 0.045392 0.059683 0.075966
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003128 0.010803 0.020702 0.032980 0.047081 0.062326 0.079731
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002410 0.010099 0.020332 0.033171 0.048005 0.064103 0.082528
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001352 0.008759 0.019231 0.032629 0.048261 0.065326 0.084934
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000540 0.007540 0.018248 0.032235 0.048719 0.066817 0.087689
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000024 0.006292 0.017131 0.031629 0.048899 0.067971 0.090052
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005347 0.016340 0.031373 0.049445 0.069502 0.092797
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004803 0.016070 0.031729 0.050675 0.071775 0.096335
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003777 0.014984 0.031016 0.050621 0.072576 0.098217
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003140 0.014421 0.030929 0.051278 0.074155 0.100938
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002455 0.013690 0.030592 0.051612 0.075348 0.103208
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001779 0.012858 0.030084 0.051718 0.076259 0.105144
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000934 0.011466 0.028773 0.050825 0.076005 0.105758
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000849 0.011655 0.029587 0.052488 0.078666 0.109615